Back from a week going 1-1 on the article last week with Mecole Hardman winning easily and John Brown losing just as easy despite the targets that came his way. Weather was less than ideal but such is life we move on to week 7!
Onto week 7 and for the my bet i am going to give out this week is Deandre Swift over 12.5 yards longest reception. Swift has been a little up and down on the season so far but I believe he is finally starting to get more game time and is easily the Lions main pass catching back. Swift has had 7 catches on 8 targets the last 2 games and with how bad Atlanta are playing on the defence and against pass catching backs I suspect Swift will be heavily involved in the game plan. Swift has gone over this total in 3 off 5 games and Atlanta have given up a longest catch off over this amount off yards in 5/6 games this season. With the ones being over at least 19yds. The loser being 11 yds.
You can find this bet at the usually places off, Hills,365 and sportingbet.
Let’s hope to get back to normal winning weeks enjoy your weekend and remember the 5pm start this week.
After another good winner on Thursday with Wentz crushing his line off 34.5 taking us to 3-0 to start of the QB Whisperer’s career. In addition to that I also tipped up Travis Fulgham to go over his receiving line of 55.5 over on the @BettingFlea twitter to go to 4-0! I will now look to make that 7-0 with the next bet in the QB Whisperer segment!
Bet 1 – Deshaun Watson under 38.5 Passing Attempts – William Hill – Yes you may have noticed the theme if you started following from day one , We doubled up on Wentz on Thursday and now we are looking to do the same with Watson on Sunday . This is the highest attempts line I have seen for Watson since studying quarterback play , I am not surprised to see it go up as he has started to trend towards throwing a lot more passes however that said he has stayed under 39 passes in 20 out of 24 of his last games . This should be a very exciting game against the Packers , the Texans run defense has been rather pathetic this season and with Rodgers struggles last time out hopefully Aaron Jones will have some success on the ground and chew up the clock helping keep Watson off the field .
Bet 2 – Patrick Mahomes Longest Pass over 36.5 Bet365 / Hills @ 5/6 – I am very surprised to see this line dropped to 36.5 as it had been 39.5 the last couple of weeks , This is a bet that I have been on consistently and not without good reason. Mahomes has gone over this number in 5 straight games and an incredible 12 of his last 14 . In one of the games he went over this number twice and I fully expect him to do it again here .
Bet 3 – Patrick Mahomes over 20.5 Rush yards Bet365 / Hills @ 5/6 – This is another line that is somewhat confusing as as it was 23.5 in the game against the bills , like any quarterback rushing yards bet you need to hope that they beat the line with something to spare to cover any loss of yards due to taking knees . The statistics for this bet are yet again fantastic as Mahomes has landed this in 5 straight games and 9 of his last 10 . However be quick to grab the line because many firms are moving it back up to 23.5 yards.
Thanks again for everyone that reads my QB Whisperer articles, lets hope we can get to 7-0 this weekend and keep on tipping up these winning bets! If you don’t follow us on twitter the Flea Flicker Betting one is @Betting Flea and my personal one is @PaulSingh22 – Thanks again for reading and good luck!
After a very successful start going 2-0 in my first article I am now looking to kepe my unbeaten streak alive in week 7 –
Bet 1) Carson Wentz over 34.5 pass attempts (Bet 365)
No need to refresh the page or make sure you are reading this week’s article, yes I am taking Carson Wentz to go over his passing attempts line again this week .
As expected last week Wentz stayed true to his consistent form and nailed 40 pass attempts against the Ravens . On this passing attempts line Wentz has gone over in an incredible 13 of his last 14 games including both of last years games against the Giants 40 & 50 (OT) respectively .
This bet should also be aided by the fact that number one running back Miles Sanders is out , the last 2-weeks he has ripped off a long run in each of the games which is worth a possession in itself .
Lets hope the Giants can keep the game tight and Wentz can deliver once again .
After a successful start to my career as the ‘Secret Tipster’ with having Engram to score at 5/2 I am back this week backing another TE.
Never look a gift horse in the mouth – This week the prolific Travis Kelce comes up against a Buffalo Bills defence, who leads the league in yards given away to Tight Ends, they have allowed 39 receptions against them that have yielded a whopping 418 yards, at an average of nearly 11 yards per reception. Darren Waller went for 9 REC, 88 Yards, Mike Gesick 8 REC, 130 Yards with a touchdown, and Jonnu smith went 5 REC, 40 Yards with two touchdowns against this fragile Bills defence. I expect another high total to be hit in what looks to be a nice match up for the Kansas City Chiefs stud TE. So what does Kelce himself bring to the party? He’s averaging 81 yards a game, clearing the estimated yardage total of 73 3/5 times this season. With Sammy Watkins out this week, Kelce should also see a slight rise in an already high target share. I’ll be taking Kelce to romp over his yardage line of 73.5 which will keep myself unbeaten at 2-0. Good Luck all.
Bet – Travis Kelce over 73.5 receiving yards @ 5/6 most firms.
Hi guys, After a successful bet last week with James Robinson yards we now move onto my next review which will be with my beloved Chiefs taking on the Buffalo Bills, with both teams coming off bad losses find out which bets I am picking and why below!
Hopefully you will have all heard our best bets on the props from the @BettingFlea podcast – we had a very good week last week and are looking to continue it this week, but this bet is going to come from the Chiefs and Bills game.
The bet I love here is – Mecole Hardman under 4.5 receptions @ 4/5 most places as we speak, Hardman has not gone over this line in his short NFL career and we have missed some players in that time. Sammy Watkins is out but I suspect Demarcus Robinson will get more game time and Byron Pringle should see some snaps as well. Hardman is not really a possession wide receiver either so for him to get 5 catches is always going to be a push. This is also the reason I couldn’t bet his receiving line under because with his speed he only needs one catch to take it to the house, with his speed he could take a 5 yard slant and turn it into a 95 yard TD.
In addition to this bet I am also having another bet on – John Brown Over 42.5 rec yards at betfair@ 5/6 – Again I put this out last week but he was unable to play, I fully expect him to be back against the chiefs this week and his stats back up this bet. Brown has gone over this total in 16/20 games. I’m hopeful Bill will also be behind in this game so we get positive gamescript. Also the fact that Josh Allen is throwing it more than enough at the minute he should get plenty off opportunities to cover this line.
Good luck if you’re betting this week and lets hope we can move onto 3-0!
If you don’t already follow myself on twitter please do below and also don’t forget to check out our podcast – Flea Flicker Betting Podcast and our twitter @BettingFlea – all listeners, readers and follows are appreciated!
@skybluechiefs – Ross @BettingFlea – Flea Flicker Betting
This week is @BeefyLayd17’s first player spotlight of the season, the emphasis of the ‘Player Spotlight’ series is to focus on a player prop line that you love and explain why you are backing it, and also give some context on the game. Last week, Ross (@Skybluechiefs) made his first player spotlight selection which ended up winning with James Robinson cashing his over 20.5 receiving yards, lets hope for another win here.
The Player spotlight this week will be Lions WR Kenny Golladay, he has had a bit of a rough start to the 2020 campaign, he missed the first 2 games due to injury and since he has been in okay form but hasn’t really had a ‘big game’ yet, in his first game back against Arizona he had 6 receptions on 7 targets and 57 yards and a TD, then in week 4, he had 4 receptions on 8 targets for 62 yards and a TD. In week 5 they had a bye and now in week 6 Golladay will come back feeling very healthy and will have had a full weeks rest to get his body ready to go again.
The Jaguars are currently ranked 32nd in DVOA Pass Defense, dead last in the league. Since there was no preseason, Football Outsiders created a ranking called ‘DAVE’ which shows how defenses will get better throughout the season. The Jaguars are still predicted to be 32nd in DVOA Pass Defense. If you don’t know what DVOA means check it out here – https://www.footballoutsiders.com/info/methods – it basically means that a 15 yard pass looks good on the stats sheet, but not if its a 3rd and 25. You haven’t been successful in getting a 1st down on 3rd down. So, the Jaguars are not successful in stopping teams from gaining first downs and being successful in stopping the pass, hence why they are ranked 32nd.
This week’s Player Spotlight bet from myself will be – Kenny Golladay over 64.5 receiving yards at Bet365 @ 10/11 – I imagine the Lions will come out firing and after a bye week and Golladay will feel very healthy for probably one of the first times this season.
If you are backing anything else this weekend good luck.
Hi, my name is Gurpal! Over the rest of the NFL Season I will be putting up my best QB’s of the week, hopefully we will make money over the season if everything goes as planned! Enjoy this week and lets hope we can start of with a few winners!
Bet 1 – Carson Wentz over 37.5 Pass Attempts (Hills) – On first look a lot of people would look at this number and think it’s way too high considering he hasn’t gone over in his last two games , but prior to that this bit has Landed 11 straight games and the majority of time with something to spare . When removing the playoff game against Seattle where went wentz went off injured his last 13 games for attempts read : 35 , 28 , 47 , 43 , 42 , 40 ,40 , 43 , 50 ,46 ,45 ,40 , 39 . He only had 28 attempts against the San Francisco 49ers mainly due to the fact at the eagles got up early and could run the ball however in this matchup they are a 9.5 dog and I expect them to be chasing the game early . In the last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers it was incredible he managed 35 attempts when you break the game down for example in the first half the Eagles only had the ball for just over 10 minutes due to the Steelers having a 7 minute drive which was swiftly followed by by a 3 play TD drive by the Eagles and Miles Sanders . Hoping for Baltimore to get up early as expected and the Philadelphia Eagles to be chasing the game from a long way out.
Bet 2 – Deshaun Watson Under 37.5 Pass Attempts (Hills) – When I first saw with line I must admit I was fairly surprised as it is a higher attempts line than when Watson faced off against Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson , there is very strong reasoning for backing the under here such as Watson has gone under this line in 19 of his last 23 games and in every game this season which presents really strong form as he played the Ravens and the Chiefs two games where a shootout was expected . I’m expecting that the Tennessee titans can help aid our cause here , it’s well documented that the Houston Texans have struggled with their run defence and will come up against Derrick Henry and the Titans machine , If the Titans get the run game going they should be able to dominate time of possession.
Please check out my twitter @PaulSingh22 and give me a follow! Hope you liked this article! Good luck!
The 2-2 New Orleans Saints welcome the LA Chargers led by their fascinating young QB Justin Herbert on Monday Night Football, the Chargers who have looked much better with Herbert at the helm of the offence will be without RB Austin Ekeler for the foreseeable future as he is on IR with a hamstring injury. Going into the game the Chargers have 2 big stars in WR Mike Williams and DE Joey Bosa both Questionable. Both will be huge miss if they cannot go. 2 of their 5 offensive lineman in Bryan Bulaga and Trai Turner have already been ruled out, Herbert has rushed for 18, 15 and 14 yards in his 3 games thus far and i expect to see him run for a few more tonight, his line is currently 14.5. The Saints have a lot of injuries coming into this clash as they did last week and i expect WR Keenan Allen to get a lot of targets, in the 3 games Herbert has started Allen has had 40 targets, 28 receptions, 290 yards and 1 TD. His line has been at 4.5 but has been upped to 6.5 receptions, his receiving yards line is at 80.5, it is worth noting the Saints have only allowed 1 WR over 80.5 yards all year, that was Allen Lizard for the Packers.
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert celebrates after throwing his first career touchdown pass during the first half of an NFL football game against the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday, Sept. 20, 2020, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
Meanwhile the Saints are coming off a win @ Detroit and are still without WR Michael Thomas after the team ruled him out for ‘Team Discipline’ reasons after he had an altercation with a team-mate on Saturday! The Saints have 5 players listed as questionable and have already ruled 4 out for this clash. WR Michael Thomas, CB Janoris Jenkins, DB Justin Hardee and WR/RS Deonte Harris are all out, while OL Andreas Peat, TE Jared Cook, DE Marcus Davenport, CB Marshon Lattimore and DT Sheldon Rankins….. lots of injuries to key starters. Last week, they heavily leant on veteran WR Emmanuel Sanders, he had 6 catches for 93 yards whereas Tre’Quan Smith had 4 catches for 54 yards and 2 TD’s. They rushed for over 164 yards against the Lions with Murray and Kamara dicing through the lions. The Chargers defense is ranked 13th DVOA against the run and 18th against the pass. Although I expect to see Kamara get most of the ball i also expect Latavius Murray to get some carries, he has had 15, 12 and 14 carries in 3 games this year. His current rushing line is 41.5 at most bookies which is a great line but is 1 yard less, at 40.5 @ Rezone sports bet!
My bet for this game is for Latavius Murray to have over 40.5 rushing yards @ Redzone sports bet @ 1.83 – this line has landed in 3/4 games this season and for my the game flow should suggest the Saints to go ahead and run the ball, he will get carries as the stats show and if the Saints get ahead he will get the carries.
My record to start the articles has not been great and is 2-4 but hopefully we can pull back to 3-4 here with a win. If you listened to our Podcast – Flea Flicker Betting you will know i have over 50 points in the game as well, so i’m hoping for a good one. Good Luck all!
As from Sunday we will have exclusive articles from Myself, Ross, our Secret Tipster and Gurpal! Make sure you subscribe to our page for emails when our articles come out or turn our tweet notifcations on, on Twitter – @BettingFlea
So I’m going to do a short write up each week on a game where a prop jumps out to me before we get a chance to record the podcast.
This week I’ve found one in the Jags @ Texans game.
This game is the Texans first since the dismissal of Bill o Brien, it’s going to be interesting how the offence rolls up with R.Crennel intrim head coach and more on the defensive side off the ball he won’t be calling the plays like Bill was. I think we will see an improved display though and with them being 6 point favs I’m Hopeful the bet I’ve found will give us positive gamescript.
The jags have been a bit up and down this year but without doubt the surprising factor for me has been the play of James Robinson. If you heard are props podcast last week hopefully you all got on his rush yards but this week I’m going to take his receiving yards.
His line is currently 20.5 at William hill, this season so far he has gone for 28,18,83 and 32 yards. Robinson has also caught 14 off his 15 targets. Robinson has clearly become a 3 down back here for this Jacksonville offence and I’m hopeful that if the Texans can get a lead and the jags have to play some from behind that he can go over this line. The Texans have given up 12 catches for 105 yards on the season which is actually quite good but when you think they have been behind in most games and teams haven’t needed to play from behind them stats maybe a little skewed.
Recommended bet James Robinson over 20.5 rec yards 5/6 @willian hill.
Good luck all and keep an eye out for our props podcast released Saturday evening.
A new edition to our website, each week we will have our ‘Secret Tipster’ pick one selection he likes and explains why he likes it, this week he has chosen Giants TE Evan Engram! Find out why below!
Evan Engram! Two of the last 3 weeks the big EE has lead the giants in targets: racking up 23 over that period, and a whopping 30 targets in total this season. Now we all know targets don’t automatically mean receptions and yards but in this case, it goes hand in hand pretty well. 17 receptions from 30 targets, and a yardage total of 131 this season, makes Engram a pretty appealing play this week in prop bets. Engram has a solid historical record against da cowboys; averaging over 66 yards a game v them with a further average of over 6 receptions a game during that period. Looking at this from a cowboys point of view makes engram even more appealing. There defensive record overall has been poor; giving up at least 38 points per game over the last 3 weeks. Taking it further into a tight end breakdown; they’ve gave up an over average of 6 receptions a game to tight ends, to just under 10 yards each reception. Furthermore conceding 3 touchdowns to tight ends over this 4 week period. Recommend bets I would bet would be – Evan Engrams to go over his yards at 47.5 yards at all bookies, and anytime touchdown bet at 5/2 would also be seen as value against this Cowboys defence!
Flea Flicker Betting 